mudcub (mudcub) wrote,

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Math is hard

I always hear that AIDS wiped out an entire generation of gay men in the eighties. So, my question is... what percentage of gay men died of AIDS? What percentage is infected today?

As of July 2008, the US population was 304,059,724.

People say Alferd Kinsey said that 10% of the population was gay. What he actually said was that 37% of the people in his study (mostly prisoners) reported some homosexual contact, 13% reported more homosexual than hetreosexual contact, and 4% only had homosexual sex.

In recent studies, 3 to 4% of Americans identify themselves as homosexual. If you include experience over an entire lifetime, the figure goes up to 5 to 7%.

Of course, in some cites and neighborhoods, gay men and women are in the majority. San Francisco is estimated at 15.4%, and Seattle at 12.9%. So a percentage taken over the entire US may not be very useful. Plus, that's just an estimate of the number alive and avowed today. It doesn't take into consideration bisexuals, "ex-gays", or people that have died over the last fifteen years.

So, I'll use 2.8% (a little more than half of 5%) of the US population is male and gay, and estimate 8.5 million homosexuals living today.

About a million people have been diagnosed with AIDS, and a half million died over the past two decades. About 70% were men who had sex with men. I am tentatively saying that that 700,000 gay men are living with HIV today, and 350,000 died from it.

Can I say that 8.2% of the gay population of the US is infected with HIV? And the AIDS crisis of the eighties and nineties claimed 4.1% of the gay population?

I wasn't out in the eighties and early nineties, so I can't say for sure. Did it seem higher at the time? Four percent seems low, but if the majority of deaths came within a span of a few years, I could see how that could be horrifying: all your friends dying around you. The swine flu ain't got nothin on AIDS.

At the end of 2006, an estimated 1,106,400 persons (95% confidence interval 1,056,400-1,156,400) in the United States were living with HIV infection, with 21% undiagnosed

AIDS in 2005
(See the box, before the References section, for AIDS definition. The following data are from 50 states and the District of Columbia.)

In the United States, HIV infection and AIDS have had a tremendous effect on men who have sex with men (MSM). MSM accounted for 71% of all HIV infections among male adults and adolescents in 2005 (based on data from 33 states with long-term, confidential name-based HIV reporting), even though only about 5% to 7% of male adults and adolescents in the United States identify themselves as MSM.

Since the beginning of the epidemic, an estimated 300,669 MSM (260,749 MSM and 39,920 MSM who inject drugs) with AIDS had died, accounting for 68% of male adults and adolescents with AIDS who had died and 57% of all people with AIDS who had died [1].

More than 500,000 gay men of all colors have died in the United States.

It is thought that more than one million people are living with HIV in the USA and that more than half a million have died after developing AIDS.

In total, an estimated 1,051,875 people have been diagnosed with AIDS in America

At the end of 2007, the CDC estimates that there were 571,378 people living with HIV/AIDS in the 39 states and dependent areas that have a history of confidential name-based HIV reporting, based on reported diagnoses and deaths2. However, the total number of people living in the USA with HIV/AIDS is thought to be around 1.1 million3. The discrepancy between these figures is due to several factors

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